Miami @ Baltimore Picks & Props

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are them as the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #24 ballpark in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all parks. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest fences among all major league stadiums. The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Baltimore Orioles has been 113.8 mph this year, putting them as the #27 team in MLB by this standard.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 83.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all parks. Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had a launch angle of 13.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 8.9°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jorge Soler ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.1°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive talent to be a .343, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .048 gap between that mark and his actual .391 wOBA.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Garrett Cooper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jordan Westburg will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year, Jordan Westburg is notably quick.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

Joey Wendle's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Austin Hays's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Hays is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Austin Hays will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Jacob Stallings has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Aaron Hicks pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage today.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.