St. Louis @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Bryan De La Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.3°, Bryan De La Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.4°) in the last 14 days. Posting a 3.63 K/BB rate this year, Bryan De La Cruz has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 24th percentile.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Bryan Hoeing will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. In today's game, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (94th percentile). Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Bryan Hoeing will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and and will be challenged by the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The #8 venue in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) implies that Tommy Edman has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Bats such as Paul DeJong with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Hoeing who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Paul DeJong's launch angle of late (26.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 20.4° seasonal figure.

The #8 venue in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Hoeing in today's game. Bats such as Nolan Gorman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Hoeing who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Over the last week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 venue in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Hoeing in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Yuli Gurriel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 15th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage today.

Jean Segura's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Jean Segura will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Jean Segura hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jean Segura will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Jacob Stallings will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game. Jacob Stallings has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 89th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .286.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Jorge Soler will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Jorge Soler will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dane Myers has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.