Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic has put up a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Luke Raley's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Wander Franco is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Wander Franco has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph figure. Over the last 7 days, Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last season's 15.5° to 20.8° this season. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.1° seasonal mark. By putting up a .374 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes is positioned in the 91st percentile. With a 1.66 K/BB rate this year, Isaac Paredes has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kolten Wong will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kolten Wong has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.9% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week. Over the last two weeks, Kolten Wong's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Randy Arozarena has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.9% rate last year to 15.5% this season. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph EV.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Harold Ramirez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In notching a .352 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Harold Ramirez is ranked in the 78th percentile. Harold Ramirez has notched a .298 batting average this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Yandy Diaz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 92-mph figure. In terms of plate discipline, Yandy Diaz's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last year to 17.7% this year. Jose Siri's launch angle recently (38.5° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 14.3° seasonal mark. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.8% to 22.8%.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.3-mph over the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.6° figure in the past two weeks.

Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia's launch angle this year (19.1°) is considerably better than his 15.4° angle last year.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Over the last 14 days, Manuel Margot's 24% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Manuel Margot has experienced some negative variance this year. His .306 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.5°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.2° figure in the last two weeks. a 1.43 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mike Ford has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.8°, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37° mark over the past 7 days. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .040 discrepancy.

Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Taylor Walls has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.