Minnesota @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Sonny Gray Today, Adley Rutschman is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (77th percentile). Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days. Adley Rutschman's launch angle of late (3.6° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 12.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's matchup.

Alex Kirilloff's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 38.2% to 52.3%. Based on Statcast data, Alex Kirilloff is in the 84th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .354.

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cole Irvin. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Willi Castro has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.5° mark over the last two weeks.

Adam Frazier's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all major league parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today's game. In the last 7 days, Kyle Farmer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Joey Gallo pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Gallo is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of the day). Over the last 14 days, Joey Gallo has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 20.8% to 27.3%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Anthony Bemboom will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jordan Westburg will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck this year. His .271 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage against Cole Irvin today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph average. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.5% to 54.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Max Kepler has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Edouard Julien has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Royce Lewis has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Carlos Correa has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Hicks has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Donovan Solano has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.