Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today. Jarred Kelenic has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph mark. In the past week's worth of games, Jarred Kelenic's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph of late.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 92.6 mph to 87.3 mph. Cal Raleigh's launch angle recently (25.6° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.8° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Randy Arozarena has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph figure. Randy Arozarena has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Jose Siri has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.3% last year to 17.4% this season. Jose Siri's launch angle recently (38.5° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14.3° seasonal angle. Compared to last season, Jose Siri has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.8% to 22.7% this season.

When estimating his batting average ability, Wander Franco is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Wander Franco has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 87.7-mph average. In the last week, Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph of late.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Kolten Wong will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kolten Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Kolten Wong's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 10%. Over the last 14 days, Kolten Wong's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Harold Ramirez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Grading out in the 95th percentile, Harold Ramirez has posted a .304 batting average this year.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last season's 15.5° to 21.2° this season. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (26.5° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 21.2° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup. Luke Raley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 46.6% on the season to 62.5% in the past two weeks.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.9°) is significantly better than his 16.4° angle last season. Taylor Walls's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (34.3° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (25° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 19.4° seasonal angle. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Eugenio Suarez has averaged an impressive 96.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Mike Ford has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.