San Francisco @ New York Picks & Props

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in MLB for left-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Jeff McNeil has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84.8-mph over the last 14 days. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 10%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Anthony DeSclafani will have the handedness advantage over Starling Marte today. Over the last 14 days, Starling Marte's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°. Starling Marte has been cold lately, posting a 2.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in MLB for left-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Anthony DeSclafani Sporting a .244 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor grades out in the 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony DeSclafani in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Alvarez's launch angle lately (34° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Thairo Estrada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. Joc Pederson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Luis Matos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 84.1-mph mark.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Wilmer Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Wilmer Flores is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Patrick Bailey has been hot of late, batting his way to a .385 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Austin Slater hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. The standard deviation of Austin Slater's launch angle since the start of last season (24.4°) is in the 96th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Blake Sabol's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Guillorme will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani in today's game. Luis Guillorme has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Luis Guillorme will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Brandon Crawford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph average.

Brandon Nimmo has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.