Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (18.1°) is a significant increase over his 14.5° angle last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.326) provides evidence that Daulton Varsho has experienced some negative variance this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Masataka Yoshida's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile. In notching a .294 batting average this year, Masataka Yoshida has performed in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo as the 20th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In terms of plate discipline, Alex Verdugo's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 87th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .338 BABIP this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. As it relates to his batting average, Rob Refsnyder has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .285 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. With a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Whit Merrifield is positioned in the 90th percentile. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Whit Merrifield has put up a .293 batting average this year.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. In the past week, Kike Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4% up to 9.1%.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today. Danny Jansen has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 94.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.7%. In the past 14 days, Danny Jansen's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.7%.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Cavan Biggio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Cavan Biggio has significantly improved, with an increase from 7% last year to 16.2% this year. Cavan Biggio has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Adam Duvall will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Adam Duvall has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 89.4-mph in the last 7 days. There has been a significant improvement in Adam Duvall's launch angle from last year's 23.4° to 26.8° this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Justin Turner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Justin Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph lately.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Chapman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.9% rate last year to 18.3% this year.

Christian Arroyo will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Christian Arroyo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week, Christian Arroyo's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) may lead us to conclude that Christian Arroyo this year with his .232 actual batting average.

Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 4 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.