World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksLAD 16, COL 17
Total PicksLAD 138, COL 108
Total PicksLAD 337, COL 125
Total PicksLAD 63, COL 40
Total PicksLAD 136, COL 44
Total PicksLAD 141, COL 129
Total PicksLAD 83, COL 40
Typically, batters like Max Muncy who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Connor Seabold. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Muncy in today's matchup. Placing in the 1st percentile, Max Muncy sports a .227 BABIP since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. Miguel Vargas's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 16° seasonal mark. Miguel Vargas has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .201 rate is quite a bit lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today. Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 12.3% on the season to 6.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .294 figure is inflated compared to his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Elias Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Seabold in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. James Outman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week. James Outman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.
Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .314 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .284 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 13th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile with a 6.95 K/BB rate.
Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.9°) is considerably better than his 11.9° angle last season. Ryan McMahon has notched a .342 BABIP this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. Elehuris Montero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Elehuris Montero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Elehuris Montero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 25%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jurickson Profar's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.4-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 88-mph EV last season has decreased to 85.9-mph. Jurickson Profar has posted a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile. Jurickson Profar has put up a .214 batting average this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 89°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Seabold in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jason Heyward's launch angle this year (18.3°) is significantly better than his 12.9° angle last year. Jason Heyward's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (17.2° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 12.9° seasonal figure.
Jorge Alfaro has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
David Peralta has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Miguel Rojas has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Yonny Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Freddie Freeman has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
J.D. Martinez has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
C.J. Cron has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Mookie Betts has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||