Washington @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Derek Hill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Derek Hill has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .233 rate is a good deal lower than his .256 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarred Kelenic will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jarred Kelenic has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Jeimer Candelario's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.5-mph over the last 7 days. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 43.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Kolten Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kolten Wong has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kolten Wong will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kolten Wong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 17.3% on the season to 27.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Lane Thomas has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.2% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last two weeks.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 44.6% on the season to 52.4% in the last 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .232 mark is a fair amount lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Keibert Ruiz has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 14 days. Eugenio Suarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18.3% on the season to 32.1% in the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's launch angle of late (23° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.7° seasonal figure. Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is considerably lower than his .353 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. CJ Abrams has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week's worth of games. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 39%.

Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Dominic Smith has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 90-mph. In the past 7 days, Dominic Smith's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Ford has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Joey Meneses has compiled a .361 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corey Dickerson in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Corey Dickerson will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Julio Rodriguez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.