Washington @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Luis Garcia has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the past week.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 37.3% to 43%.

THE BAT X projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Derek Hill has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Derek Hill since the start of last season with his .242 actual wOBA.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarred Kelenic will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jarred Kelenic has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.7% on the season to 54.1% in the last 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .231 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .276 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Kolten Wong will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kolten Wong can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Kolten Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Kolten Wong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 15.7% on the season to 0% in the last week.

THE BAT X projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the past two weeks. Lane Thomas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph.

THE BAT X projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.7-mph.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo today. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 89.7-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% over the last 7 days. Dominic Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 76th percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's launch angle recently (13° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 16.1° seasonal angle. Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .318 rate is quite a bit lower than his .351 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Eugenio Suarez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 20.7% over the past two weeks. Eugenio Suarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 18% on the season to 31% in the past 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has notched a .360 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game. Corey Dickerson has compiled a .267 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Mike Ford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Ford stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph EV.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Caballero's launch angle lately (26.3° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 21.8° seasonal figure. Jose Caballero has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 91st percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game. CJ Abrams's launch angle this season (10.1°) is significantly higher than his 6.6° figure last season.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Julio Rodriguez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.