Kansas City @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Nick Pratto is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in the league. Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Nick Pratto has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week. Nick Pratto has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch today. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last season to 17.5% this season.

Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Nicky Lopez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .257 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Dairon Blanco has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dairon Blanco's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.49 ft/sec now.

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in the league. Drew Waters has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 19.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the past two weeks. Drew Waters has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph. Drew Waters has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .286 mark is considerably lower than his .312 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. MJ Melendez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure.

Randy Arozarena projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, per THE BAT X. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.9% rate last year to 16.1% this year.

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 91.6-mph in the past 7 days. Maikel Garcia has compiled a .356 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Samad Taylor has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Edward Olivares has recorded a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 77th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Daniel Lynch. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (21.3°) is a considerable increase over his 16.4° angle last year. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (31° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 21.3° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Salvador Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 19.9% on the season to 23.5% in the past week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (20.9°) is considerably better than his 15.5° figure last season.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Manuel Margot will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manuel Margot has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph figure. Manuel Margot's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 15.8% on the season to 32.1% in the last 14 days.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Wander Franco has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Harold Ramirez has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.