Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #27 field in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Gerrit Cole will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 mark is deflated compared to his .248 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Corey Seager as the 8th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Corey Seager has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last year to 19.3% this season.

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Robbie Grossman pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Robbie Grossman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (17.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14.5° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Ezequiel Duran has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last season to 11.3% this season. Ezequiel Duran's launch angle of late (20.5° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.4° seasonal figure. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 9.1% to 18.4%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.4% to 21.4%. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 21.4% on the season to 38.5% in the past week's worth of games. Jonah Heim has posted a .276 batting average this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Billy McKinney will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Billy McKinney will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Billy McKinney has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 93.4-mph. Billy McKinney has been hot of late, cruising to a .425 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.5-mph.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.5% to 24.7%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Jose Trevino will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .217 mark is quite a bit lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 51% on the season to 57.6% over the past 14 days. Josh Jung has posted a .340 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Adolis Garcia has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 15.5% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past 14 days. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 96.2-mph.

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 41.4% to 48%. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 48% on the season to 61.5% in the past 14 days. Leody Taveras has posted a .306 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 98th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 46.1% on the season to 70.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .193 rate is considerably lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Bauers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.7-mph.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.