
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Picks & Best Bets for ALCS Game 2
Total PicksSEA 18, BAL 12
Total PicksSEA 195, BAL 353
Total PicksSEA 45, BAL 75
Total PicksSEA 13, BAL 23
Total PicksSEA 19, BAL 34
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. George Kirby will have the handedness advantage over Austin Hays in today's game. Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.5-mph in the last week's worth of games. Austin Hays has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .318 BA is considerably higher than his .269 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
THE BAT X projects Anthony Santander in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his weak side (0) today against George Kirby Anthony Santander's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86.4-mph in the past two weeks. Anthony Santander has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .354 mark is quite a bit higher than his .316 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Cedric Mullins II's speed has fallen off this year. His 28.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.88 ft/sec now. Cedric Mullins II has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .358 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .319 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Cedric Mullins II's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 107.8 mph this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98-mph EV last year has decreased to 94.7-mph.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against George Kirby Adley Rutschman has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest LF fences in today's game. Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84-mph over the past 7 days. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 46% on the season to 23.1% in the last 7 days.
Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Jarred Kelenic has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph mark.
THE BAT X projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 field in the game for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. Eugenio Suarez has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Eugenio Suarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 18.3% on the season to 32.1% over the past two weeks. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .293 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .046 discrepancy.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's launch angle lately (13° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 16.1° seasonal figure. Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .313 figure is a fair amount lower than his .350 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14.4% to 17.6%. Adam Frazier has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .227 figure is considerably lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 field in the game for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Mateo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (20.7° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 8.5° seasonal mark. Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .267 mark is considerably lower than his .331 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 field in the game for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (26.9° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 21.8° seasonal figure. Jose Caballero has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Aaron Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Aaron Hicks has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. Anthony Bemboom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Anthony Bemboom will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.3-mph.
J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Kolten Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
Ty France has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Julio Rodriguez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | PaPe454 | 7-3-0 | +18419 |
2 | mikeg1827 | 7-3-0 | +16755 |
3 | dotlife162 | 7-2-1 | +16740 |
4 | Roundrobinking | 5-5-0 | +16740 |
5 | KingScorpio | 4-6-0 | +15745 |
6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
7 | jr5601 | 5-5-0 | +12325 |
8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +11645 |
9 | YAL15M | 8-2-0 | +11415 |
10 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11200 |
All Mariners Money Leaders |
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
All Orioles Money Leaders |