Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0

Atlanta @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .030 difference.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .030 difference.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Graham Ashcraft will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90-mph over the last week. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.9% to 35.9%. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .243 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Graham Ashcraft will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90-mph over the last week. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.9% to 35.9%. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .243 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Elly De La Cruz has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics of late, averaging just 78.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks. Elly De La Cruz has struggled to lift the ball lately, putting up a -0.5° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Elly De La Cruz has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics of late, averaging just 78.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks. Elly De La Cruz has struggled to lift the ball lately, putting up a -0.5° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Kevin Newman
K. Newman
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Kevin Newman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Kevin Newman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jonathan India
J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Matt Olson has compiled a .258 BABIP this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Matt Olson has compiled a .258 BABIP this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Joey Votto Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Joey Votto
J. Votto
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Votto has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Joey Votto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Votto has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Eddie Rosario
E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Orlando Arcia
O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .372 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .372 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Nick Senzel
N. Senzel
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Senzel will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Senzel will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Curt Casali Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Curt Casali
C. Casali
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Curt Casali will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

Curt Casali

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Curt Casali will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.99
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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