Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 field in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Yonny Chirinos will hold the platoon advantage over Salvador Perez in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 field in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Yonny Chirinos will hold the platoon advantage over Salvador Perez in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Pratto
N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nick Pratto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nick Pratto usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Yonny Chirinos. Nick Pratto has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph figure.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nick Pratto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nick Pratto usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Yonny Chirinos. Nick Pratto has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph figure.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Siri
J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 23.2%. Jose Siri has posted a .365 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 23.2%. Jose Siri has posted a .365 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Isaac Paredes
I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (20.5°) is considerably better than his 15.5° mark last year. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (16° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 20.3° seasonal angle.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (20.5°) is considerably better than his 15.5° mark last year. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (16° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 20.3° seasonal angle.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Edward Olivares
E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Edward Olivares pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is a good deal lower than his .344 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Edward Olivares pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is a good deal lower than his .344 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Luke Raley
L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles today. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles today. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Wander Franco
W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Tropicana Field projects as the #27 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Jordan Lyles Wander Franco has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 79.3-mph over the last week.

Wander Franco

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Tropicana Field projects as the #27 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Jordan Lyles Wander Franco has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 79.3-mph over the last week.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this year (21.2°) is significantly better than his 16.4° angle last year. Taylor Walls's launch angle lately (38.5° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 21.2° seasonal mark.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this year (21.2°) is significantly better than his 16.4° angle last year. Taylor Walls's launch angle lately (38.5° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 21.2° seasonal mark.

Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Vidal Brujan
V. Brujan
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Vidal Brujan pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Vidal Brujan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Vidal Brujan has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .170 BA is a fair amount lower than his .191 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Vidal Brujan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Vidal Brujan pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Vidal Brujan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Vidal Brujan has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .170 BA is a fair amount lower than his .191 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.9% rate last season to 16.3% this year. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph mark.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.9% rate last season to 16.3% this year. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph mark.

Francisco Mejia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Francisco Mejia
F. Mejia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Francisco Mejia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Francisco Mejia grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.8% rate since the start of last season).

Francisco Mejia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Francisco Mejia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Francisco Mejia grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.8% rate since the start of last season).

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. MJ Melendez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. MJ Melendez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Drew Waters has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 16.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 10% in the last week's worth of games. Drew Waters has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph. Drew Waters's launch angle lately (22.3° in the last week) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Drew Waters has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 16.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 10% in the last week's worth of games. Drew Waters has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph. Drew Waters's launch angle lately (22.3° in the last week) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nicky Lopez
N. Lopez
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Maikel Garcia has compiled a .361 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Maikel Garcia has compiled a .361 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christian Bethancourt
C. Bethancourt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Dairon Blanco
D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.46
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Dairon Blanco has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Manuel Margot
M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Manuel Margot has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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