St. Louis @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 field in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 14.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 14.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Trevor Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage over Lane Thomas today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 45.9% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days. Dylan Carlson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .246 figure is considerably lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Tommy Edman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 17.3% on the season to 40% over the last 7 days. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .239 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .265 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Lars Nootbaar in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.

Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph EV. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (40.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 22.5° seasonal figure.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is quite a bit lower than his .343 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark. Jordan Walker has put up a .296 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Jordan Walker has compiled a .296 batting average this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 37.3% to 44%. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 44% on the season to 61.1% over the past 7 days.

Paul DeJong's launch angle in recent games (23.7° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 19.6° seasonal figure. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 36.1% to 45.1%.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Willson Contreras has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Willson Contreras's launch angle recently (7° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly lower than his 11.4° seasonal angle. Willson Contreras has been unlucky this year, putting up a .300 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .059 discrepancy.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Corey Dickerson will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Corey Dickerson will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 33.6% to 38.6%. CJ Abrams has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 figure is quite a bit lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Nolan Arenado has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 6.3% over the last 7 days. Nolan Arenado has put up a .271 batting average this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Stone Garrett has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Joey Meneses has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.