Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this year (13.7°) is considerably worse than his 17° figure last year. Ozzie Albies has compiled a .259 BABIP this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Orlando Arcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph. Orlando Arcia has notched a .383 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 96.4-mph.

Matt Olson projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Matt Olson has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.6% rate last season to 19.1% this season.

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alec Bohm has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kevin Pillar will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Kevin Pillar pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Kevin Pillar's speed has gotten better this season. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.29 ft/sec now.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.