St. Louis @ Washington Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 park in the game for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Josiah Gray will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Arenado today. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Nolan Arenado has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 park in the game for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Josiah Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Walker today. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jordan Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Nationals Park grades out as the #28 park in the game for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-worst on the slate today. Dylan Carlson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.8% rate this year).

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-worst on the slate today. Tommy Edman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-worst on the slate today. Paul DeJong has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph. Paul DeJong's launch angle of late (31° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal mark.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. CJ Abrams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jack Flaherty. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 3.8% rate last year to 10.2% this season.

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas is remarkably athletic, grading out in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.23 ft/sec this year. Lane Thomas has put up a .365 BABIP this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Willson Contreras has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-worst on the slate today.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith has shown good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Corey Dickerson will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate today.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Lars Nootbaar has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Joey Meneses has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.