Tampa Bay @ San Diego Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Luke Raley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 45.5% on the season to 52.3% over the past two weeks.

Petco Park profiles as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Joe Musgrove will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Isaac Paredes has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 4.3% seasonal rate to 10.3% in the past 14 days. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (29.4° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 20.8° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos today. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Taylor Walls hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jose Siri has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.3% on the season to 57.1% in the last week's worth of games.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 18% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 97-mph.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has been hot recently, putting up a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last 14 days.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 38.4% on the season to 56.5% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Manuel Margot hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manuel Margot has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week. Manuel Margot has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure. Manuel Margot's launch angle of late (26.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 10.5° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Manny Machado has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 7 days.

Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Carpenter are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yonny Chirinos. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Matt Carpenter has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.5-mph figure. Matt Carpenter's launch angle of late (30.8° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 22.5° seasonal figure.

Rougned Odor will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos today. Extreme flyball batters like Rougned Odor generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yonny Chirinos. Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.