Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
MASN, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Yuli Gurriel
Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Yuli Gurriel in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Yuli Gurriel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 38.7% on the season to 30.8% in the last 14 days.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Yuli Gurriel in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Yuli Gurriel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 38.7% on the season to 30.8% in the last 14 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wendle
J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

Jorge Soler
J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Hampson
G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Garrett Hampson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Garrett Hampson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

Michael Chavis
M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Michael Chavis will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Michael Chavis will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Luis Garcia Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia
L. Garcia
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

Stone Garrett
S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Stone Garrett in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Stone Garrett in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Nick Fortes has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Nick Fortes has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 33.7° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Nick Fortes has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Nick Fortes has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 33.7° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

Jacob Stallings
J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.9% on the season to 66.7% over the last 7 days.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.9% on the season to 66.7% over the last 7 days.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Cooper
G. Cooper
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Garrett Cooper has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

Ildemaro Vargas
I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Ildemaro Vargas has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

Victor Robles
V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Victor Robles has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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