St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Carlos Carrasco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today's game. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Walker in today's game. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 7.8% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage against Paul Goldschmidt today. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Citi Field projects as the #30 park in MLB for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Carlson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph. Dylan Carlson has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score over the last 7 days, which measures a hitter's skill in hitting the ball to all fields.

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong's launch angle recently (26.1° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 19.2° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Nolan Gorman has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Willson Contreras has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jeff McNeil has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.3% seasonal rate to 7.7% in the last week.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore. Eduardo Escobar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eduardo Escobar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Edman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.