Toronto @ Texas Picks & Props

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Dane Dunning will hold the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 44.5% on the season to 76.9% in the past 7 days. Daulton Varsho has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .228 BA is deflated compared to his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .286 batting average this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Corey Seager as the 9th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Richards in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Corey Seager will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Ezequiel Duran's launch angle recently (20.4° in the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 13.9° seasonal figure. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 9.1% to 18.7%.

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph average. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 47.7%. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 47.7% on the season to 66.7% in the last week.

Robbie Grossman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Robbie Grossman has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days. Robbie Grossman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (24.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 14.9° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Jung is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.3% rate this year). Josh Jung has posted a .359 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's launch angle in recent games (32.5° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 17.8° seasonal angle. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (18.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.7° figure last season. Jonah Heim has posted a .277 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today. Cavan Biggio has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 20.3% to 30.6%. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 28.3% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.1°) is considerably better than his 15° angle last season. Danny Jansen has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .214 BA is a fair amount lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Danny Jansen's 12.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Danny Jansen has posted a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 12.9% rate last season to 18.4% this season. Matt Chapman has posted a .364 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Matt Chapman has posted a .361 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle recently (23.3° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 17.4° seasonal figure. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 17% to 20.1%.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.