New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kaleb Ort will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Gleyber Torres's launch angle of late (-4.3° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 14.1° seasonal angle. An inconsistent launch angle is usually a measure of bad hitting skills, and Gleyber Torres has been very inconsistent with his recently, compiling a 19.6° launch angle standard deviation in the last 7 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. The weather forecast the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Clarke Schmidt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner in today's matchup. Justin Turner's launch angle this season (13.1°) is significantly worse than his 18.6° figure last year. Justin Turner's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 108.2 mph this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 20th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Triston Casas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph figure.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Kaleb Ort in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (21.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 15.4° seasonal angle.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game. Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. Anthony Volpe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 45.2% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.2-mph.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt today. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Reese McGuire has notched a .352 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jose Trevino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today. Willie Calhoun hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Willie Calhoun has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .238 BA is a good deal lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Willie Calhoun has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile with a 0.99 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. Christian Arroyo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Christian Arroyo has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 30% over the last week.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Billy McKinney will have the handedness advantage over Kaleb Ort in today's matchup. Billy McKinney has been hot in recent games, posting a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the last 14 days. Billy McKinney has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 45% of the time over the past 14 days.

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Kaleb Ort today.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.