Tampa Bay @ San Diego Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jose Siri has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.2% this season. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.8% to 25%. Jose Siri has compiled a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Juan Soto has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.1-mph average to last season's 95.9-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wander Franco has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph mark. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 45.1% on the season to 51.4% over the last 14 days.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17.3% seasonal rate to 29.4% in the last 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.9-mph. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (22.3°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° mark last year.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle in recent games (20.2° in the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.7° seasonal angle. Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .216 BA is quite a bit lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.9% rate last season to 16.5% this year. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Yu Darvish today. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Luke Raley has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.4-mph average.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Isaac Paredes has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91-mph. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (21.1°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° figure last season. Isaac Paredes's launch angle recently (32.9° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 21.1° seasonal figure. Isaac Paredes has posted a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Gary Sanchez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. Gary Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Yandy Diaz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 92-mph EV. Yandy Diaz has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 95-mph mark. Yandy Diaz has put up a .412 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. Nelson Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nelson Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 44% to 51.4%. Nelson Cruz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 rate is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Nelson Cruz's 91.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.