St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage against Starling Marte today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of the day. Starling Marte has compiled a .288 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of the day. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 13.4% to 10.1%.

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in the majors, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Dylan Carlson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86-mph figure. Dylan Carlson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill today.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 17% seasonal rate to 38.9% over the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today. Brendan Donovan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. Mark Vientos has been hot lately, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Willson Contreras's launch angle recently (26.7° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Tommy Edman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark. Tommy Edman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .237 BA is a good deal lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong's launch angle in recent games (28.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 20° seasonal figure. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 36.1% to 45.5%.

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Jordan Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.9-mph mark.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Omar Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.7% rate since the start of last season).

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 20%.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph average. Nolan Arenado has notched a .282 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the highest humidity of the day at 76%. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

Jeff McNeil has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.