New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over DJ LeMahieu in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like DJ LeMahieu tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. DJ LeMahieu will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Domingo German will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Turner in today's matchup. Justin Turner has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week. Justin Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Gleyber Torres's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (8.5° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 17.9° seasonal angle. Gleyber Torres has posted a .261 BABIP this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Anthony Rizzo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Rafael Devers has compiled a .245 BABIP this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Higashioka usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40.9% to 52.2%.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball hitters like Billy McKinney tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Donaldson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Josh Donaldson pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Volpe generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .192 mark is considerably lower than his .239 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Willie Calhoun is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Willie Calhoun hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Christian Arroyo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Domingo German in today's game. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last year to 9.1% this season. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 27.3%.

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.