Cincinnati @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences among all parks — generally bad for HRs. Extreme flyball bats like Salvador Perez generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Williamson. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.1-mph over the last 14 days. Salvador Perez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (16.7°) is considerably worse than his 21.3° figure last season. Salvador Perez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .347 figure is inflated compared to his .324 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Elly De La Cruz as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Nick Pratto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report the 3rd-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Curt Casali has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile with a 2.36 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 12th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report the 3rd-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Matt Duffy in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Newman in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects Stuart Fairchild in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.