COL +169 o8.5
PIT -185 u8.5
WAS +163 o9.5
PHI -178 u9.5
HOU +100 o9.5
BAL -108 u9.5
BOS +160 o8.5
NYY -174 u8.5
KC +130 o8.5
DET -141 u8.5
TOR -163 o8.0
MIA +150 u8.0
NYM +104 o8.5
ATL -113 u8.5
STL +124 o9.0
TB -134 u9.0
MIN -127 o8.5
CHW +117 u8.5
CLE +136 o7.5
TEX -148 u7.5
SF +144 o8.5
MIL -157 u8.5
CHC -139 o9.5
LAA +126 u9.5
CIN +121 o9.0
AZ -131 u9.0
LAD -116 o8.0
SD +107 u8.0
ATH +181 o8.0
SEA -204 u8.0
AT&T Sportsnet, NESN

Colorado @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

Elehuris Montero
E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elehuris Montero will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Elehuris Montero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elehuris Montero will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Elehuris Montero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

Justin Turner
J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best of the day. Justin Turner has displayed some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 102.7-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last two weeks' worth of games. Justin Turner is not very toolsy, checking in at the 10th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.21 ft/sec this year.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best of the day. Justin Turner has displayed some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 102.7-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last two weeks' worth of games. Justin Turner is not very toolsy, checking in at the 10th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.21 ft/sec this year.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against James Paxton. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against James Paxton. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ezequiel Tovar
E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Austin Wynns Total Hits Props • Colorado

Austin Wynns
A. Wynns
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Austin Wynns

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Colorado

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's game.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's game.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

Triston Casas
T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Connor Seabold in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Connor Seabold in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

Enrique Hernandez
E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

Adam Duvall
A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

Christian Arroyo
C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Arroyo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Seabold.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Arroyo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Seabold.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.11
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Masataka Yoshida has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.03
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Rafael Devers has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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