Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Willi Castro has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.1-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph EV. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.3% to 24.1%. Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .311 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .335 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Christian Vazquez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 1.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 17% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 47% to 54.3%. Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is considerably lower than his .302 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Royce Lewis has been hot lately, putting up a a 13.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last two weeks. Royce Lewis has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last 7 days — 108.5-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Carlos Correa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Carlos Correa has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.3% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past two weeks. Carlos Correa has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 95.5-mph.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Ryan Jeffers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Richards in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Richards in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 15.1% on the season to 27.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Richards in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, posting a .274 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .059 difference. Max Kepler has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Extreme flyball batters like Alejandro Kirk generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .258 mark is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of the day. Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.