Kansas City @ Baltimore Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan Mountcastle has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week. Ryan Mountcastle's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 80.6-mph in the past 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 7th percentile with a 5.06 K/BB rate. Ryan Mountcastle has notched a .254 BABIP this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Adley Rutschman has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Adam Frazier has gone under 1.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Daniel Lynch... and even better, Lynch has a large platoon split. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph EV.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Lynch has a large platoon split. Ramon Urias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Austin Hays in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Austin Hays is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Austin Hays will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Lynch has a large platoon split. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Extreme groundball batters like Maikel Garcia usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Wells. Maikel Garcia has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.9-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells in today's matchup. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 12th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Extreme flyball hitters like Drew Waters tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Wells.

Nick Pratto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Nick Pratto will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Wells in today's game. Nick Pratto has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Daniel Lynch... and even better, Lynch has a large platoon split. Aaron Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Aaron Hicks has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Ryan McKenna will have the handedness advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game... and even better, Lynch has a large platoon split. Ryan McKenna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ryan McKenna has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 86.8-mph average.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and moreover, Lynch has a large platoon split. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .283 rate is a fair amount lower than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The weather report projects the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edward Olivares has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.9-mph. Edward Olivares has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .310 mark is deflated compared to his .368 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Wells in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nicky Lopez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Wells. Nicky Lopez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.8-mph average to last season's 84.8-mph figure. Nicky Lopez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .226 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .262 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 park in the game for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Michael Massey has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (19.8°) is considerably better than his 15.8° mark last season.

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Salvador Perez's launch angle lately (21.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 17.4° seasonal mark. Salvador Perez has compiled a .274 batting average this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #6 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. James McCann will hold the platoon advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and moreover, Lynch has a large platoon split. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. James McCann will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. James McCann has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.