Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #27 stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.2-mph figure last year has lowered to 90.6-mph.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, according to THE BAT X. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brandon Belt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Brandon Belt will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 19th-best batter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Kyle Tucker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score over the last 7 days, which measures a batter's ability to hit the ball to all fields.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Martin Maldonado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.1% on the season to 30.8% over the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42.4% to 55.2%. Jose Altuve has notched a .384 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph average. Daulton Varsho's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (22° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 14.1° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. George Springer will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Whit Merrifield will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 85.7-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 40% on the season to 50% in the last two weeks. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .094 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez today. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.9% to 21.3%. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 21.3% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Corey Julks has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. Corey Julks has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.3-mph. Corey Julks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 13.9% on the season to 9.1% over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.