Minnesota @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Randy Arozarena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 11th-worst on the slate today. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.9% this season.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 44.7% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow. Jorge Polanco's launch angle of late (26.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 18.5° seasonal angle.

Christian Vazquez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 47% to 53.8%. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has notched a .265 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days. Carlos Correa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .061 gap.

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 33.1° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph average. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 53% to 58.6%. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 58.6% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days. Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a fair amount lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (39.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.7° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Extreme groundball bats like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Harold Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° angle last season. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (30° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20.4° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Trevor Larnach has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 38.2% to 55.2%.

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (31.3° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.3% to 23.4%.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Max Kepler's launch angle lately (25.5° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.9° seasonal angle. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .053 discrepancy. Max Kepler has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.