Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 field in the game for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Mauricio Dubon today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams today. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Tyler Heineman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Tyler Heineman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .248 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Heineman has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile with a 2.2 K/BB rate.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Tucker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.4% to 55.2%. Jose Altuve has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators lately, averaging 101.9-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Jose Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 40.2% on the season to 56.3% over the past 7 days. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .092 discrepancy.

Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jeremy Pena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 12.1% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. George Springer has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 40.9% on the season to 64.3% in the last week. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, posting a .311 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .027 gap.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's launch angle recently (18.5° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 15.1° seasonal mark. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.5% to 48.5%.

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Bregman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.9-mph average. Alex Bregman's launch angle in recent games (23.8° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 20.6° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days. Yainer Diaz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph. Yainer Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (13.3° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 9.3° seasonal mark.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Corey Julks has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week. Corey Julks has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph. Corey Julks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 13.9% on the season to 9.1% in the past week. Corey Julks has posted a .274 batting average this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 20.1% this season.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.