Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Extreme groundball batters like Brandon Belt are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Kyle Tucker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

THE BAT X projects Mauricio Dubon in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Mauricio Dubon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mauricio Dubon has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Mauricio Dubon has compiled a .292 batting average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 21.3%. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 21.3% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, posting a .245 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .050 deviation. Santiago Espinal has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.09 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jeremy Pena has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.7% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.5% to 48.8%.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Corey Julks has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.7% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past 7 days. Corey Julks has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph.

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jose Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jose Abreu has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph mark. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 39.8% on the season to 60% over the past week. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, compiling a .244 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .089 difference.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 1.03 K/BB rate.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.