Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Alek Manoah will have the handedness advantage against Mauricio Dubon today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Mauricio Dubon's launch angle recently (-3.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 5.1° seasonal figure.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, per THE BAT X. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Brandon Bielak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.6-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.6-mph. George Springer's launch angle in recent games (3.8° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 10.5° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, posting a .312 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .026 discrepancy.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Bielak in today's matchup. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Bielak today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chas McCormick has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph. Chas McCormick's launch angle in recent games (45° in the last week) is significantly higher than his 15.4° seasonal figure.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 49%.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Bregman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph.

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jose Abreu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 39.8% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeremy Pena has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last 14 days.

Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Bielak today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Bielak in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corey Julks has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.7% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the last week. Corey Julks has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.4-mph.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.