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Chicago @ San Diego props

Petco Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today... and the cherry on top, Weathers has a large platoon split. Christopher Morel has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 14% rate last year to 22.7% this season. Christopher Morel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year's 95.4-mph figure.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today... and the cherry on top, Weathers has a large platoon split. Christopher Morel has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 14% rate last year to 22.7% this season. Christopher Morel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year's 95.4-mph figure.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 15% on the season to 21.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 15% on the season to 21.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Dansby Swanson has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.4% seasonal rate to 19.4% over the last 14 days.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Dansby Swanson has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.4% seasonal rate to 19.4% over the last 14 days.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.7% to 49.3%. Ian Happ has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate. Ian Happ has notched a .355 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.7% to 49.3%. Ian Happ has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate. Ian Happ has notched a .355 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Trey Mancini Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

T. Mancini
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Trey Mancini will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Weathers has a large platoon split. Trey Mancini has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.

Trey Mancini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trey Mancini will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Weathers has a large platoon split. Trey Mancini has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers today... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the last 14 days.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers today... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the last 14 days.

Austin Nola Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Nola
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Austin Nola has been unlucky this year, compiling a .204 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .092 disparity.

Austin Nola

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Austin Nola has been unlucky this year, compiling a .204 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .092 disparity.

Alfonso Rivas Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Rivas
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alfonso Rivas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Alfonso Rivas will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alfonso Rivas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Alfonso Rivas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Alfonso Rivas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Alfonso Rivas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Alfonso Rivas will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alfonso Rivas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Alfonso Rivas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, compiling a .279 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .067 disparity.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, compiling a .279 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .067 disparity.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Extreme flyball bats like Matt Carpenter tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Matt Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Matt Carpenter has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.3-mph.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Extreme flyball bats like Matt Carpenter tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Matt Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Matt Carpenter has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.3-mph.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Yan Gomes will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Yan Gomes has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 10.8% this season.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league. Yan Gomes will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Yan Gomes has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 10.8% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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