Philadelphia @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park ranks as the #30 venue in MLB for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers. Dylan Covey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 46.5% on the season to 60% in the past week's worth of games.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Alex Call's launch angle of late (37.7° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 13.7° seasonal angle. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Alex Call has been very consistent with his recently, notching a 39.5° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Kyle Schwarber has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 21.7% over the past two weeks.

Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Extreme groundball batters like Stone Garrett tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Covey. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Edmundo Sosa has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Kody Clemens's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 39.2% on the season to 52.4% in the past two weeks. An inconsistent launch angle is usually a proxy for bad hitting skills, and Kody Clemens has been very inconsistent with his in recent games, notching a 21.5° launch angle standard deviation in the last week's worth of games.

Drew Ellis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 42.9% on the season to 50% over the past 14 days. Lane Thomas has displayed some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 95.7-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dylan Covey. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 42.9% over the last 7 days.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Covey in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 13.8% on the season to 17.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Trea Turner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 29.4% in the last week's worth of games.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Covey today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Covey in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams today. Corey Dickerson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Bryson Stott has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph average.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.