St. Louis @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rodolfo Castro Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Castro
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Rodolfo Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Rodolfo Castro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rodolfo Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rodolfo Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Rodolfo Castro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brendan Donovan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Tucupita Marcano Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

T. Marcano
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Tucupita Marcano has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Tucupita Marcano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

Tucupita Marcano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Tucupita Marcano has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Tucupita Marcano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty today.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty today.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Tommy Edman has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last 14 days.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Tommy Edman has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last 14 days.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Hedges
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Austin Hedges will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Hedges has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .196 rate is a good deal lower than his .259 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Austin Hedges will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Hedges has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .196 rate is a good deal lower than his .259 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Santana
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Connor Joe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Juan Yepez Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Yepez
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Juan Yepez's launch angle this season (23.3°) is a significant increase over his 17.2° figure last year.

Juan Yepez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. Juan Yepez's launch angle this season (23.3°) is a significant increase over his 17.2° figure last year.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roansy Contreras today.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roansy Contreras today.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #7 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Palacios
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-150
Under
+116
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.65
Best Odds
Over
-150
Under
+116

Joshua Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+180
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.95
Best Odds
Over
+180
Under
-240

Lars Nootbaar has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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