HOU +139 o7.0
PIT -152 u7.0
COL +156 o8.0
MIA -170 u8.0
CHC -151 o9.5
WAS +139 u9.5
CLE +181 o7.5
NYY -199 u7.5
PHI -130 o9.0
TOR +120 u9.0
LAA +121 o9.0
BOS -131 u9.0
MIL +115 o8.5
CIN -124 u8.5
AZ +133 o9.0
ATL -144 u9.0
TEX +125 o8.0
TB -136 u8.0
DET -166 o8.5
CHW +152 u8.5
KC +131 o9.0
STL -143 u9.0
BAL +127 o7.5
SEA -138 u7.5
SD +142 o8.0
SF -155 u8.0
MIN -190 o10.0
ATH +174 u10.0
NYM +123 o9.5
LAD -133 u9.5
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Detroit @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Benintendi
A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.1-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.8-mph. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.5-mph in the last week. Andrew Benintendi has compiled a .302 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile for hitting ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.1-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.8-mph. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.5-mph in the last week. Andrew Benintendi has compiled a .302 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile for hitting ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zack Short
Z. Short
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Zack Short pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Zack Short has been hot lately, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last two weeks. Zack Short has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 98.2-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Zack Short pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Zack Short has been hot lately, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last two weeks. Zack Short has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 98.2-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Romy Gonzalez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Romy Gonzalez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Romy Gonzalez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Romy Gonzalez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .034 difference.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .034 difference.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Luis Robert Jr.
L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luis Robert as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Luis Robert as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Andy Ibanez
A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Andy Ibanez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph average. Andy Ibanez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .220 rate is a fair amount lower than his .321 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Andy Ibanez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph average. Andy Ibanez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .220 rate is a fair amount lower than his .321 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Javier Baez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Clevinger.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Javier Baez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Clevinger.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Eloy Jimenez
E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Eloy Jimenez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Eloy Jimenez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Yoan Moncada
Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yoan Moncada in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Yoan Moncada in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Akil Baddoo Total Hits Props • Detroit

Akil Baddoo
A. Baddoo
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Akil Baddoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Akil Baddoo will have the handedness advantage over Mike Clevinger today. Akil Baddoo has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Akil Baddoo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Akil Baddoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Akil Baddoo will have the handedness advantage over Mike Clevinger today. Akil Baddoo has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Detroit

Nick Maton
N. Maton
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Maton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Mike Clevinger in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Maton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Mike Clevinger in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Andrew Vaughn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Andrew Vaughn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Yasmani Grandal
Y. Grandal
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Yasmani Grandal will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph mark.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Yasmani Grandal will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph mark.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Mike Clevinger today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Mike Clevinger today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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