Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

Sandy Leon will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Sandy Leon has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .227 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .245 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jose Caballero has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past 14 days. Jose Caballero's launch angle lately (49.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19° seasonal angle.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray today. Jarred Kelenic has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph average. Jarred Kelenic's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 31.1% to 55%. Jarred Kelenic has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Kolten Wong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Kolten Wong has been unlucky this year, putting up a .211 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .104 difference. Kolten Wong has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2.15 K/BB rate.

Extreme groundball hitters like Robbie Grossman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo. Robbie Grossman will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Robbie Grossman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

THE BAT X projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .288 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .055 discrepancy.

Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today. Corey Seager will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Corey Seager has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last year to 19.5% this season.

THE BAT X projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Julio Rodriguez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .373 — a .047 difference.

Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.2°) is a significant increase over his 11.7° angle last year. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 43.3% on the season to 61.1% over the last week. Jonah Heim has compiled a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Jonah Heim has posted a .276 batting average this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .330 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .364 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 47.4% on the season to 64.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Leody Taveras has put up a .294 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Leody Taveras has compiled a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Castillo. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 13% over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, notching a .297 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .040 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Jung has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph average. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 49.7% on the season to 65% in the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Travis Jankowski has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Taylor Trammell has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.