New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Mervis has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Matt Mervis will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The MLB ranks Wrigley Field's RF dimensions as the 5th-deepest. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 55°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 10.3%.

When it comes to his BABIP captalent, Brett Baty is projected in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X. Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When considering his overall offensive prowess, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. In the last two weeks, Francisco Alvarez has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 8.2% to 14.3%.

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Daniel Vogelbach's launch angle of late (28° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 11.5° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 20.4%.

When estimating his batting average ability, Starling Marte is ranked in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X projects. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Lately, Starling Marte' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, averageident from his 97.9-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph. Comparing to his seasonal figure of 10.1°, Starling Marte has recorded a launch angle of 20.7° over the last week, showcasing a significant increase.

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst.

At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Yan Gomes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Yan Gomes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Yan Gomes has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.5% rate last year to 12.3% this season.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.329) may lead us to conclude that Mark Canha this year with his .298 actual wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Christopher Morel is projected in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X. At the 10th-highest altitude in the league, Wrigley Field typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Of all teams today, the New York Mets' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Christopher Morel will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.