Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile. Ryan McKenna has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.8-mph figure. Ryan McKenna has compiled a .363 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck this year. His .239 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

Greg Allen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Greg Allen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Comparing Adley Rutschman' 96.6-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92-mph rfigureeals a significant gain. Adley Rutschman's launch angle recently (10.7° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 14.9° seasonal mark. Rising from 13.7% to 22.6%, Adley Rutschman has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last year.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Lately, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 10.7% to 20% withover the last 7 days. In the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has exhibited a significant surge in his average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls, measuring 24.8°, which marks a substantial rise from his seasonal angle of 18.5°.

In terms of his batting average talent, Austin Hays ranks in the 76th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Hays has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.3% rate last year to 13.2% this year. Austin Hays has posted a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 84th percentile. Austin Hays has compiled a .315 batting average this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

Cedric Mullins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Oswaldo Cabrera's launch figure has improved significantly to 21.8° from his seasonal figure of 16.1°. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, posting a .248 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .065 discrepancy.

THE BAT X projects Anthony Rizzo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Ryan Mountcastle has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Ryan Mountcastle's launch angle has improved significantly to 22° from his seasonal angle of 16.5°. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan Mountcastle has suffered from bad luck this year. His .312 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .354.

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Aaron Judge will rank as the best hitter in the league. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Aaron Judge has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 30.1% to 48.1%. Aaron Judge has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 96.4-mph mark.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This season, Anthony Santander has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 95.5 mph, compared to last year's 93.2 mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Anthony Santander has been significantly improving his average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls, now at 25.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 97th percentile with a standard1° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB and considered a reliable metric.

DJ LeMahieu has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Adam Frazier's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X projects. This season, Adam Frazier mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (72% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 1st spot. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Lately, Adam Frazier' exit velocity on flyballs has notably improvementd, as markidenced by his average of 89-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 86.8-mph. Over the past 14 days, Adam Frazier's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 58.3%, whereas it was 50% earlier in the season.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Comparing Harrison Bader' 91.3-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph rfigureeals a significant gain. His seasonal mark has been 21.4° but Harrison Bader has recently recorded a launch angle of 25.5° in the past week, which is notably higher. The percentage of Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 15.5% to 27% between last year and this season.

Terrin Vavra has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Willie Calhoun is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Recently, Willie Calhoun's launch angle has recorded an impressive increase of 21.1° from his seasonal angle of 14.6° over the past couple of weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.216) may lead us to conclude that Willie Calhoun has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .182 actual batting average.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

THE BAT X projects Anthony Volpe in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lately, Anthony Volpe has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 11.5% to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 99.3-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 94-mph. In recent times, Anthony Volpe has improved his capability to strike the ball at an angle between -4° and 26°, which is favorable for hitting a HR. This has resulted in an increase from 24.8% for the season to 29.2% over the previous two weeks.

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Gleyber Torres has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.