Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
MSN2, Bally Sports Network

Detroit @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Nationals Park projects as the #30 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Spencer Torkelson's capacity to hit the ball with an optimal launch angle for home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°) has dwindled, dropping from 15.6% to 11.8%. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 11.8% on the season to 3.3% over the past two weeks. In notching a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 19th percentile.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park projects as the #30 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Spencer Torkelson's capacity to hit the ball with an optimal launch angle for home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°) has dwindled, dropping from 15.6% to 11.8%. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 11.8% on the season to 3.3% over the past two weeks. In notching a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 19th percentile.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure exit velocity of 86.8 mph to a recent 14-day figure of 88.9 mph, Alex Call has shown a notable increase. Lately, Alex Call has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 42.5% over the season to 56% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure exit velocity of 86.8 mph to a recent 14-day figure of 88.9 mph, Alex Call has shown a notable increase. Lately, Alex Call has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 42.5% over the season to 56% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Alex Faedo. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Alex Faedo. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

This year, Dominic Smith has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (50% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 2nd in the batting order for this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Faedo in today's matchup. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This year, Dominic Smith has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (50% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 2nd in the batting order for this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Faedo in today's matchup. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

Corey Dickerson Total Hits Props • Washington

Corey Dickerson
C. Dickerson
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Corey Dickerson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Faedo today. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

Corey Dickerson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Corey Dickerson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Faedo today. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In his recent games, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 98.4-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In his recent games, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 98.4-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Eric Haase has posted a .325 BABIP since the start of last season.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Eric Haase has posted a .325 BABIP since the start of last season.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Alex Faedo in today's matchup. Players such as CJ Abrams who excel at hitting groundballs are often more successful when facing pitchers like Alex Faedo who excel at inducing fly balls. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Alex Faedo in today's matchup. Players such as CJ Abrams who excel at hitting groundballs are often more successful when facing pitchers like Alex Faedo who excel at inducing fly balls. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams.

Jonathan Schoop Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jonathan Schoop
J. Schoop
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jonathan Schoop will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jonathan Schoop has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .202 figure is deflated compared to his .228 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jonathan Schoop

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jonathan Schoop will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jonathan Schoop has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .202 figure is deflated compared to his .228 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

Ildemaro Vargas
I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Ildemaro Vargas, who uses extreme groundball hitters, typically has more success against pitchers like Alex Faedo, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Ildemaro Vargas, who uses extreme groundball hitters, typically has more success against pitchers like Alex Faedo, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. Today, the Detroit Tigers have the worst infield defense out of all teams. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jake Rogers will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Jake Rogers will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.10
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Riley Greene has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

Matt Vierling
M. Vierling
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Matt Vierling has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.09
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Joey Meneses has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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