Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 field in MLB for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alek Manoah will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Of all teams today, the 2nd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. As of late, Gunnar Henderson has experienced a noteworthy gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, markident in his average of 96.2 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 93.9 mph.

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, Cedric Mullins II scores in the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X projects. Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 23.5%. Sporting a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X utilizing Statcast data) this year, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. In the last 7 days, Anthony Santander has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 11.5% to 17.6%. Comparing his EV of 95.8 mph this year to last year's EV of 93.2 mph, Anthony Santander has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. There has been a significant increase in Anthony Santander's launch angle, which was at 25° in the last 7 days compared to his seasonal figure of 21.7°.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. With a .330 BABIP since the start of last season, Kevin Kiermaier finds himself in the 81st percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Of late, Daulton Varsho's exit velocity has notably gaind, evident in his 90.6-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 86.3-mph figure. His launch figure has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 24.6° compared to his seasonal figure of 17°, Daulton Varsho's performance shows.

THE BAT X projects Adam Frazier in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. For 77% of the time this year, Adam Frazier has mainly batted in the back-half of the batting order, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 5th spot in the batting order. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

For 90% of the time this season, Brandon Belt has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 4th spot in the lineup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. With the weakest outfield defense of all teams on the slate being Baltimore ranked at #2, Brandon Belt's skills as an extreme flyball hitter are put to the test. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Estimating Whit Merrifield's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 89th percentile. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. From last season to this one, Whit Merrifield has improved his capability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes his BABIP, which has increased from 42.5% to 49.1%. Despite his .331 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Whit Merrifield's actual wOBA mark of .299 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events this year.

Matt Chapman is projected to be in the 94th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. With his Barrel% having increased from 12.9% in the previous season to 24.3% this year, Matt Chapman has shown significant improvements.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Danny Jansen had an average launch mark of 15° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year his mark has significantly increased to 24°. In the past two weeks, Danny Jansen has exhibited a significant surge in his average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls, measuring 28.8°, which marks a substantial rise from his seasonal angle of 24°. Up until now, Danny Jansen has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .278 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .345, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, notching a .215 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .082 deviation. Santiago Espinal has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.08 K/BB rate.

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Terrin Vavra is projected in the 84th percentile by THE BAT X. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Terrin Vavra will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Terrin Vavra can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Terrin Vavra's quickness has improved this season. His 27.07 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.74 ft/sec now.

When assessing Austin Hays's batting average capskill, THE BAT X places him in the 75th percentile. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. His Barrel% has improved significantly, as Austin Hays's rate increased from 5.3% in the previous year to 13.5.3% in the current year. Austin Hays has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 87.7-mph average. In the last 14 days, Austin Hays's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 54.5%, whereas it was 45.2% earlier in the season.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Within the past two weeks, Jorge Mateo has displayed a significant increase in his average launch mark on his highest exit velocity balls, clocking in at 25.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 7.4°. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .227 figure falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.