Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 81st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 26nd venue in the game for right-handed BABIP. Of the day, the 2nd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 95.5 mph to 87.4 mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ryan Mountcastle's capacity to strike the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26° for optimal home run results has declined from 19% to 9.7% for the season.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The percentage of Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 13.7% to 23.3% between last season and this season.

In terms of his batting average skill, Austin Hays ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Hays is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Anthony Santander has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. There has been a significant increase in Jorge Mateo's launch angle, which was at 33.3° over the last 7 days compared to his seasonal figure of 11.6°. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .227 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Increasing from 14.4% to 18.3%, Adam Frazier has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last year. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 18.3% on the season to 29.4% over the past 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. James McCann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.2% to 22.2%. James McCann has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .242 figure is deflated compared to his .294 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Brandon Belt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph.

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Ryan McKenna is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan McKenna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Comparing his current average of 90.7 mph to last year's average of 86.8 mph, there has been a significant boost in Ryan McKenna's exit velocity this season.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. Compared to last year's 15°, Danny Jansen has shown a notable increase in his average launch figure of 24.5° on his hardest-contacted balls this year.

When assessing Whit Merrifield's batting average capskill, THE BAT X places him in the 88th percentile. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Whit Merrifield has a significantly improved average launch angle of 22.8° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.