Atlanta @ Texas Picks & Props

Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning in today's game. This year, Sam Hilliard has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle that optimizes his base hit (between -4° and 26°). His success rate has risen from 38.7% to 51.4% compared to last year. Sam Hilliard has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .277 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Sam Hilliard's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 115.1 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile. Scoring in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year, Sam Hilliard exhibits immense athleticism.

Despite mainly batting in the latter half of the lineup this season (52% of games), Robbie Grossman has been placed in the 2nd spot for this game. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Robbie Grossman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 21.3°, Robbie Grossman has recorded a launch angle of 29° in the past 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Over the last 14 days, Orlando Arcia's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 58.8%, whereas it was 46.2% earlier in the season. Orlando Arcia's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 78th percentile. Orlando Arcia has put up a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Orlando Arcia has put up a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Dane Dunning, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball bats such as Ozzie Albies. Compared to last year, Ozzie Albies has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 18.6% to 25%. In recent times, Ozzie Albies has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 25% for the season to 35.3% in the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's matchup... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His launch angle has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 20.8° compared to his seasonal angle of 15.9°, Adolis Garcia's performance shows.

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Sean Murphy has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 22.1% this season. Over the past 14 days, Sean Murphy's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 94.9 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV. In terms of Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Sean Murphy ranks in the 100th percentile with a .437 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) for this year.

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Compared to last season, Eddie Rosario has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for BABIP optimization, increasing his percentage from 39.3% to 55.3% this season.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past two weeks.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Austin Riley scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Lately, Austin Riley's capacity to strike the ball at an angle that optimizes BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has grown, progressing from 43% this season to 63.6% in the last 7 days. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .325 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .039 discrepancy.

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Marcus Semien will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Olson projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Comparing his current average of 95 mph to last year's EV of 92.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Matt Olson's exit velocity this season. Lately, Matt Olson' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, EVident from his 101.9-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 99.5-mph.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ranked in the 96th percentile, Leody Taveras's .352 BABIP since the start of last season, has been put up.

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Josh Jung in the 85th percentile. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Josh Jung will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Jonah Heim has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 95.8 mph, compared to last year's 90 mph mark. In comparison to his figure of 11.7° in the previous season, Jonah Heim has significantly increased his average launch figure to 20.7° on the balls he has struck the hardest this year.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bubba Thompson has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.