Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Anthony Rizzo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 86.8-mph figure. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, compiling a .236 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .079 difference.

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Aaron Judge will rank as the best hitter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. This season, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle to 17.6° compared to his 14.6° in the previous year. Of late, Aaron Judge has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 49.3% during the season to 60% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his current average of 92.3 mph to last year's EV of 89.2 mph, there has been a significant boost in DJ LeMahieu's exit velocity this season.

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant increase in Gleyber Torres's launch angle, which was at 20.9° in the last week compared to his seasonal figure of 15.1°.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. By increasing his Barrel% from 3.4% in the previous season to 9.4% this year, Harrison Bader has displayed significant improvements. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 34.4%.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jose Siri has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last year to 18.4% this year. Jose Siri has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Over the last 14 days, Jose Siri has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 18.4% to 33.3% during the current season. Thus far, when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season, Jose Siri has experienced unfavorable variance on his side; his current rate of .213 falls considerably short of his .233 Expected Batting Average, as determined by the Statcast data interpretation of THE BAT X.

When considering his batting average ability, Harold Ramirez ranks as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball according to THE BAT X. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Over the past 7 days, Harold Ramirez has had a launch angle of 25°, significantly higher than his seasonal mark of 10.9°. Compared to last season's 2.3°, Harold Ramirez has shown a notable increase in his average launch angle of 8.7° on his hardest-contacted balls this season. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Harold Ramirez has recorded a .346 wOBA, which is considered the most comprehensive statistic for offensive performance since the start of last season.

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, Randy Arozarena scores in the 96th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Randy Arozarena has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 7.9% rate last season to 21.2% this season. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph average. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 98.4-mph.

Jose Trevino will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Within the past two weeks, Jose Trevino has displayed a significant increase in his average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls, clocking in at 17.8° compared to his seasonal angle of 6.5°. His wOBA this year has had some very poor luck as Jose Trevino's .268 mark is considerably lower compared to his .302 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 10.5% to 26.3%, showcasing significant gains in his performance. Comparing his seasonal average of 93.1-mph to his 97.4-mph average over the last two weeks, it is clear that Anthony Volpe has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 23.2% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks. Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is a fair amount lower than his .344 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Taylor Walls has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks. There is a significant increase in Taylor Walls's average launch mark on the balls he has hit hardest this year, which stands at 19.6°, compared to his mark of 16.4° in the previous season. The recent increase in Taylor Walls's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage going from 44.8% on the season to 66.7% in the past week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Compared to his launch angle of 15.5° last season, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved with a mark of 20.3° this season. Having a 1.83 K/BB rate, Isaac Paredes demonstrated impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Improving from a 10.4% rate last year, Brandon Lowe has made significant gains with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.10.4% this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Willie Calhoun has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Luke Raley has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Wander Franco has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.