Toronto @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, via THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his batting average skill, Alejandro Kirk is ranked in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X projects. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile with a .351 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) put up since the start of last season. Alejandro Kirk has posted a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Improvement can be seen in Kevin Kiermaier's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 42.1% to 48.6% between last year and this year.

Matt Chapman is projected to be in the 96th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. From last year's 12.9%, Matt Chapman has impressively increased his Barrel% to 30.3% this year.

Estimating Santiago Espinal's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 75th percentile. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Comparing to his seasonal mark of 7.5°, Santiago Espinal has recorded a launch angle of 30° over the past week, showcasing a significant increase. When it comes to his batting average since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal hasn't had much luck as his figure of .256 is far below his Expected Batting Average of .271 (evaluated on the basis of Statcast data interpretation by THE BAT X).

When it comes to his batting average talent, Whit Merrifield is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Comparing his seasonal figure of 89.3-mph to his 93.5-mph figure over the last 14 days, it is clear that Whit Merrifield has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 25.5° in the last week's worth of games compared to his seasonal angle of 13.2°.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. George Springer pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .351, which is a .091 discrepancy, George Springer has been unlucky this year with a .260 wOBA.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 7.4% to 13.6%.

Although Brandon Belt has mostly batted in the back-half of the order this season, appearing in that position 95% of the time, he is slated to bat 5th in this particular matchup. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Facing the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#3 worst of all teams of all teams today), Brandon Belt proves to be an extreme flyball hitter.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by THE BAT X. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Trea Turner has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 4.6% to 13.3%, showcasing big gains in his performance.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by THE BAT X assessment. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. From last year's 5.5%, Edmundo Sosa has impressively increased his Barrel% to 13.8% this year. Edmundo Sosa has notched a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

According to THE BAT X, Bryce Harper is predicted to be the 9th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryce Harper has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing Alec Bohm's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 94th percentile. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Alec Bohm in the 79th percentile with a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season. Alec Bohm has posted a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 87th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.