Toronto @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Rodolfo Castro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 34%. Johan Oviedo will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's game. George Springer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best on the slate. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Having the 8th-largest fair ground in Major League Baseball, PNC Park is not ideal for hitting home runs. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 34%. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams today. Recently, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has undergone negative regression as his seasonal rate of 15.3% has plummeted to 0% within the past week. Despite THE BAT X estimating Bryan Reynolds's true talent level to be .371, a disparity of .018, he has been lucky this year with a notching of .389 wOBA.

In terms of his BABIP talent, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Connor Joe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Connor Joe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Connor Joe has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.6% rate last year to 12.7% this season.

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is estimated to be in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. This year, Whit Merrifield has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (84% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th in the lineup for this game. As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. From last year to this one, Whit Merrifield has improved his capability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes his BABIP, which has increased from 42.5% to 50.7%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Players such as Matt Chapman, who excel at hitting flyballs, typically have greater success when facing pitchers like Johan Oviedo who specialize in producing groundballs.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Johan Oviedo, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball batters such as Brandon Belt.

As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Austin Hedges will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Comparing Austin Hedges' 96-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.7-mph rEVeals a significant gain. Over the last 7 days, Austin Hedges has had a launch angle of 30°, significantly higher than his seasonal angle of 14.2°.

For 60% of the time this year, Tucupita Marcano has mainly batted in the back-half of the batting order, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the batting order. THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Tucupita Marcano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tucupita Marcano can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

According to THE BAT X, Miguel Andujar ranks in the 84th percentile for his batting average skill. As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Miguel Andujar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Miguel Andujar has been hot lately, notching a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X shows Alejandro Kirk checking in at the 85th percentile with a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) for since the start of last season. Alejandro Kirk has put up a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

As per THE BAT projection system, PNC Park is placed at the 9nd position among Major League Baseball parks for righty batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. In recent games, Santiago Espinal' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably gaind, EVident from his 94.5-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 87.3-mph. There has been a significant increase in Santiago Espinal's launch angle, which was at 30° in the last week compared to his seasonal figure of 5°. His batting average since the start of last season of .259 is quite a bit lower than his .273 Expected Batting Average, which is based on Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X and suggests Santiago Espinal has been unlucky.

THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 20.3% to 28.6%.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks PNC Park as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Sitting at the 6th-highest elevation among Major League Baseball stadiums, PNC Park tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Within the past two weeks, Carlos Santana has displayed a significant increase in his average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls, clocking in at 13.6° compared to his seasonal angle of 8.2°.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ji-Hwan Bae has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.