Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Yuli Gurriel in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Worse offense is commonly observed at LoanDepot Park due to its altitude being one of the lowest in the league, close to sea-level. Recently, Yuli Gurriel's exit velocity for flyballs has decreased as his seasonal average of 82.7 mph has dropped down to 77.9 mph in the prfigureious week. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 10.8% to 4.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Austin Riley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Austin Riley has notched a .361 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. On the slate, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the worst. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal EV exit velocity of 91.7 mph to a recent 14-day EV of 93.8 mph, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has shown a notable increase.

According to THE BAT X, Matt Olson is predicted to be the 20th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. This season, Matt Olson has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 13.6% in the previous season to 21.5%. Comparing his figure of 95.1 mph this season to last year's figure of 99.9 mph, Matt Olson has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs.

According to THE BAT X, Vaughn Grissom ranks in the 92nd percentile for his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Vaughn Grissom will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Vaughn Grissom in the 77th percentile with a .327 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) posted since the start of last season.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Worse offense is commonly observed at LoanDepot Park due to its altitude being one of the lowest in the league, close to sea-level. Jean Segura's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.3-mph over the last 7 days. Compared to last year's mark of 4.2°, Jean Segura's launch angle has experienced a significant decline at -1.2° this season. Comparing to his seasonal figure of -1.2°, Jean Segura has shown a significant decline in his recent launch angle, only reaching -9.2° over the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. With his Barrel% having increased from 10.5% in the previous season to 22% this season, Sean Murphy has shown significant improvements.

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Over the past week, Ozzie Albies has had a launch angle of 19.8°, which is significantly higher than his season average of 11.8°.

According to THE BAT projection system, LoanDepot Park ranks as the 21th stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. Worse offense is commonly observed at LoanDepot Park due to its altitude being one of the lowest in the league, close to sea-level. Dylan Dodd will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Dodd's large platoon split. Luis Arraez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will be challenged by the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Comparing his average of 95.2 mph this season to last season's average of 97.2 mph, Marcell Ozuna has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336, Marcell Ozuna has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .262 wOBA, resulting in a discrepancy of .074. Marcell Ozuna's 12.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eddie Rosario has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 95.2-mph figure. This year, Eddie Rosario has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle that optimizes his base hit (between -4° and 26°). His success rate has risen from 39.3% to 50.8% compared to last year. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Eddie Rosario's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 56%, whereas it was 50.8% earlier in the season.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Garrett Hampson will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's matchup... and moreover, Dodd has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst on the slate today. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Bryan De La Cruz in the 96th percentile. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Bryan De La Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's matchup... and even better, Dodd has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst on the slate today.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's game... and even more favorably, Dodd has a large platoon split. On the slate, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the worst. Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. By increasing his Barrel% from 3.4% in the previous season to 19.4% this season, Jacob Stallings has displayed significant improvements.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's game... and moreover, Dodd has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst on the slate today. Nick Fortes will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jorge Soler will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's matchup... and even better, Dodd has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst on the slate today.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. In recent times, Kevin Pillar has improved his capability to strike the ball at an angle between -4° and 26°, which is favorable for hitting a HR. This has resulted in an increase from 23.7% for the season to 35.3% over the previous two weeks. Kevin Pillar's consistently putting up a 37.9° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games indicates he is a good hitter.

Jon Berti has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.